Barnet 1-0 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.51
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
19%
4.46
X/2
15%
7.74
X/X
9%
5.4
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
9%
5.39
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.84/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/2.07
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
07.04.2018 Barnet Barnet 1-0 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
05.08.2017 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-2 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
07.03.2015 Barnet Barnet 1-3 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
27.09.2014 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
05.04.2014 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
25.02.2014 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 0-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
1-0
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
75% Ball Possession 25%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet squeezed past Forest Green Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Barnet had 75% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 25%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barnet and 1.33 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Forest Green Rovers?

Barnet 1-0 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barnet 44%, draw 24%, Forest Green Rovers 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ BTTS No
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