Bath City 1-2 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.17/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.72
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
1-2
AWAY Torquay United
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United nicked a narrow win over Bath City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bath City had 64% of the ball to Torquay United's 36%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Torquay United?

Bath City 1-2 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bath City 37%, draw 29%, Torquay United 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bath City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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