Spennymoor Town 2-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.40/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.39
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Southport
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 Southport Southport 1-2 HT 1-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
15.08.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 5-1 HT 3-1 Southport Southport İCON
18.04.2023 Southport Southport 1-3 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.10.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Southport Southport İCON
23.04.2022 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
05.10.2021 Southport Southport 3-2 HT 1-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
2-0
AWAY Southport
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
16 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town saw off Southport 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 59% of the ball to Southport's 41%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.33 for Southport.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Southport?

Spennymoor Town 2-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 41%, draw 26%, Southport 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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