Toronto FC vs Charlotte Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USA - Major League, 20 Aug 2026

Toronto FC
vs
Charlotte
📅20/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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USA - Major League – 2026

Toronto FC vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Toronto FC v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Toronto FC vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Charlotte
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.88 xG 2.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
419 Passes 369
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.05.2026 Charlotte Charlotte 3-1 HT 2-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
27.07.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
01.06.2025 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
14.04.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 3-2 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
09.03.2024 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
05.10.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 3-0 HT 2-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
COMMENT Toronto FC vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 5 of Toronto FC's last 5 home league games, while Charlotte have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Toronto FC and 2.17 for Charlotte.

When do Toronto FC and Charlotte play?

Toronto FC play Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 20/08/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Toronto FC vs Charlotte?

Our model's prediction for Toronto FC vs Charlotte is a Toronto FC win at about 40% probability, priced 2.12 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Toronto FC 40%, draw 24%, Charlotte 36%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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