FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USA - Major League, 20 Aug 2026

FC Cincinnati
vs
New York City FC
📅20/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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USA - Major League – 2026

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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FC Cincinnati v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
1W-2D-3L
AWAY New York City FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 1.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2026 New York City FC New York City FC 4-4 HT 2-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.08.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
04.05.2025 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
10.11.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
03.11.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
29.10.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
COMMENT FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of FC Cincinnati's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.50 for New York City FC.

When do FC Cincinnati and New York City FC play?

FC Cincinnati play New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 20/08/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?

Our model's prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC is a FC Cincinnati win at about 45% probability, priced 1.92 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is FC Cincinnati 45%, draw 21%, New York City FC 33%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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