Flamengo vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Copa Libertadores, 20 Aug 2026

Flamengo
vs
Cruzeiro
📅20/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Copa Libertadores – 2026

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Flamengo v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Flamengo vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.77 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
390 Passes 348
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.08.2026 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo LKU
12.03.2026 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
03.10.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
05.05.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
07.11.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
01.07.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
COMMENT Flamengo vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Flamengo have won 5 of their last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flamengo and 0.67 for Cruzeiro.

When do Flamengo and Cruzeiro play?

Flamengo play Cruzeiro in the Copa Libertadores on 20/08/2026, kick-off 03:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Our model's prediction for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro is a Flamengo win at about 58% probability, priced 1.64 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Flamengo 58%, draw 21%, Cruzeiro 21%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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