Bath City 0-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
7%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 32% vs market 29.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.03/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.11
-23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Bath City Bath City 2-1 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
07.09.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-0 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
16.03.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-1 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
02.12.2023 Bath City Bath City 2-3 HT 2-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
04.02.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
01.11.2022 Bath City Bath City 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
0-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over Bath City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Chelmsford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bath City had 52% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 48%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bath City and 1.83 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Chelmsford City?

Bath City 0-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bath City 34%, draw 31%, Chelmsford City 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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