Bath City 2-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.04/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.13
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-0 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
16.03.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-1 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
02.12.2023 Bath City Bath City 2-3 HT 2-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
04.02.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
01.11.2022 Bath City Bath City 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
08.01.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
2-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City squeezed past Chelmsford City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bath City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bath City had 55% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 45%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bath City and 1.83 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Chelmsford City?

Bath City 2-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bath City 35%, draw 26%, Chelmsford City 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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