Al Riffa 3-0 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 26%
-18% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.57/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.59
-24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sitra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Sitra Sitra 1-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
09.04.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-2 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
29.03.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-3 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.04.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
15.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
3-0
AWAY Sitra
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa swept aside Sitra 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riffa had 63% of the ball to Sitra's 37%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Riffa and 1.33 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Sitra?

Al Riffa 3-0 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 49%, draw 27%, Sitra 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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