Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 2-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa and Independiente Del Valle couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 45% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 55%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.31 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.17 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle?
Mushuc Runa 2-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 24%, draw 22%, Independiente Del Valle 54%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.