Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.8pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 48%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.80/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.70
-22% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Floriana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
09.02.2025 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 1-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
21.10.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
30.03.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTAK
17.12.2023 Floriana Floriana 3-2 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
14.04.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-5 HT 0-4 Floriana Floriana MLTP
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana edged past Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 2.50 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 27%, draw 30%, Floriana 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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