Hibernians FC 2-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.34/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.89
-6% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +55%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
09.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 3-2 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
06.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK
17.08.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
02.03.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
28.10.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
2-0
AWAY Naxxar Lions
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC got the better of Naxxar Lions 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hibernians FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 40% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 60%, shots finished 7-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.00 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Hibernians FC 2-0 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 53%, draw 22%, Naxxar Lions 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernians FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
20 Sep 2025
18:00 Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United Analysis →
18:00 Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana Analysis →
20:15 Tarxien Rainbows vs Zabbar St. Patrick Analysis →