Sparta Selemet 1-4 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
76%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
45%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+6.4pp
13%
Draw
8%
+5.2pp
76%
Away Win
88%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 94%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.18/3.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/0.85
-59% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -70%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Milsami
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2025 Milsami Milsami 3-1 HT 3-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
14.05.2025 Sparta Selemet 3-3 HT 1-2 Milsami Milsami MOLDK
10.05.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
30.04.2025 Milsami Milsami 5-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLDK
06.04.2025 Sparta Selemet 1-6 HT 1-3 Milsami Milsami MOLD
24.09.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
1-4
AWAY Milsami
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami cruised past Sparta Selemet 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 40% of the ball to Milsami's 60%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sparta Selemet and 3.33 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs Milsami?

Sparta Selemet 1-4 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 11%, draw 13%, Milsami 76%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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