Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Freiburg (K) v Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Freiburg (K) 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen (K) found just enough to beat Freiburg (K) 2-1 on their travels. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Freiburg (K) had 52% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 48%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.10 to 2.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Freiburg (K) and 2.00 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).
Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Result & Final Score
Freiburg (K) 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 20/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 21%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.