Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Austria - Bundesliga, 20 Sep 2026

📅20/09/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.65
Draw
20%
3.95
Away
20%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.54 xG 1.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
285 Passes 217
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2026 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
20.03.2026 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-1 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
09.11.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
20.09.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
09.05.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-2 HT 2-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
13.04.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
PREVIEW Salzburg vs Sturm Graz
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Everything in the data leans Salzburg's way at home, though favourites lose football matches every week.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Salzburg's last 5 home league games; meanwhile, Sturm Graz have found the net in all 5 of their most recent away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Salzburg against 1.83 for Sturm Graz.

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Kick-off Time

Salzburg play Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 20/09/2026, kick-off 18:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Salzburg vs Sturm Graz is a Salzburg win at about 60% probability, priced 1.65 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Salzburg 60%, draw 20%, Sturm Graz 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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