Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salzburg v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Salzburg 1-2 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz edged past Salzburg 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Salzburg had 62% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 38%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.57 to 1.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Salzburg.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Salzburg and 2.17 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Salzburg 1-2 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 47%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salzburg) went the other way.