Melgar vs Sport Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melgar v Sport Boys — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Sport Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Melgar 1-1 Sport Boys — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar and Sport Boys shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melgar at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 65% to 35% in Melgar's favour, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 1.96 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Melgar against 0.67 for Sport Boys.
Melgar vs Sport Boys Result & Final Score
Melgar 1 - 1 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 20/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melgar vs Sport Boys Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Melgar 68%, draw 20%, Sport Boys 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.