Estepona 4-0 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
36%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense The Market 28%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.04/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.27
-18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Linense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Estepona Estepona 1-1 HT 1-1 Linense Linense İS4
08.10.2023 Linense Linense 0-2 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
4-0
AWAY Linense
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona ran out comfortable winners over Linense 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estepona as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Estepona had 59% of the ball to Linense's 41%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estepona had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estepona and 0.50 for Linense.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Linense?

Estepona 4-0 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estepona 46%, draw 26%, Linense 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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