Estepona 1-1 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.36
Over
33%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
43%
2-3
39%
4-5
12%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.1pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense The Market 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.18/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +137%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Linense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Linense Linense 0-2 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-1
AWAY Linense
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona and Linense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Estepona had 54% of the ball to Linense's 46%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Linense?

Estepona 1-1 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estepona 37%, draw 29%, Linense 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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