Gernika 1-1 Tudelano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.64
Over
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gernika The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tudelano The Market 32%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.70/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.94
+34% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gernika
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Tudelano
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Gernika Gernika 1-4 HT 0-1 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
05.11.2023 Tudelano Tudelano 5-0 HT 0-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
05.03.2023 Gernika Gernika 2-0 HT 1-0 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
16.10.2022 Tudelano Tudelano 3-2 HT 2-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gernika
1-1
AWAY Tudelano
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gernika vs Tudelano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika and Tudelano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gernika had 58% of the ball to Tudelano's 42%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tudelano led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gernika and 3.00 for Tudelano.

What was the final score of Gernika vs Tudelano?

Gernika 1-1 Tudelano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gernika vs Tudelano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gernika 39%, draw 30%, Tudelano 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gernika), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gernika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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