FC Dallas 2-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.59
Over
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.89
2-3
41%
2.06
4-5
23%
2.59
6+
14%
5.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.47
X/2
11%
9.43
X/X
11%
6.41
2/1 EV
9%
19.65
2/2
10%
5.99
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City The Market 27%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.58/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.65
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.9 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.37 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
389 Passes 460
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABDK
08.07.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
01.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
19.03.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
10.10.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
11.05.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-2 HT 0-2 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
2-1
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
55% Ball Possession 45%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
417 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas edged past Sporting Kansas City 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Dallas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, FC Dallas had 55% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 45%, shots finished 3-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Dallas and 2.17 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?

FC Dallas 2-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 48%, draw 26%, Sporting Kansas City 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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