Alpendorada vs Cinfaes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alpendorada v Cinfaes — Team-Based Signals
Alpendorada 1-2 Cinfaes — Actual Match Statistics
Cinfaes squeezed past Alpendorada 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Alpendorada at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alpendorada had 49% of the ball to Cinfaes's 51%, shots finished 10-16.
What was the final score of Alpendorada vs Cinfaes?
Alpendorada 1-2 Cinfaes in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alpendorada vs Cinfaes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alpendorada win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alpendorada 42%, draw 29%, Cinfaes 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.