Leixoes 2-1 Alcains — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.14
No
59%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-13.9pp
18%
Draw
12%
+6.2pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+13.3pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcains EU Bookmakers 8%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.93/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+36% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -30%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
2-1
AWAY Alcains
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Alcains
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes edged past Alcains 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leixoes as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Leixoes had 57% of the ball to Alcains's 43%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Alcains?

Leixoes 2-1 Alcains in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Alcains?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 68%, draw 18%, Alcains 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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