Maria da Fonte vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maria da Fonte v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Maria da Fonte 0-5 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Arouca ran out comfortable winners over Maria da Fonte 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Arouca as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Maria da Fonte had 34% of the ball to Arouca's 66%, shots finished 8-30.
What was the final score of Maria da Fonte vs Arouca?
Maria da Fonte 0-5 Arouca in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maria da Fonte vs Arouca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arouca win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Maria da Fonte 19%, draw 24%, Arouca 58%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arouca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.