O Elvas 3-2 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.67
Over
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No Pick
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Elvas The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense The Market 59%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.11
-17% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Elvas
3-2
AWAY Torreense
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH O Elvas vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Elvas edged past Torreense 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Torreense at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, O Elvas had 44% of the ball to Torreense's 56%, shots finished 14-15.

What was the final score of O Elvas vs Torreense?

O Elvas 3-2 Torreense in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Elvas vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split O Elvas 26%, draw 23%, Torreense 51%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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