Os Marialvas 1-2 Rebordosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Os Marialvas The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rebordosa The Market 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Os Marialvas
1-2
AWAY Rebordosa
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Os Marialvas vs Rebordosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rebordosa edged past Os Marialvas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Rebordosa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Os Marialvas had 54% of the ball to Rebordosa's 46%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Os Marialvas vs Rebordosa?

Os Marialvas 1-2 Rebordosa in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Os Marialvas vs Rebordosa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rebordosa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Os Marialvas 29%, draw 31%, Rebordosa 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rebordosa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rebordosa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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