Sporting Covilha vs Moncarapachense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Moncarapachense — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha 3-2 Moncarapachense — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha edged past Moncarapachense 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Covilha as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 58% of the ball to Moncarapachense's 42%, shots finished 11-7.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Moncarapachense?
Sporting Covilha 3-2 Moncarapachense in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Moncarapachense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 42%, draw 26%, Moncarapachense 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Covilha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.