Sporting Covilha vs Moncarapachense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sporting Covilha v Moncarapachense — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha 3-2 Moncarapachense — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha found just enough to beat Moncarapachense 3-2. From 1-2 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Covilha as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.80, about 56%.
On the day, possession split 58% to 42% in Sporting Covilha's favour, shots finished 11-7.
Sporting Covilha vs Moncarapachense Result & Final Score
Sporting Covilha 3 - 2 Moncarapachense in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sporting Covilha vs Moncarapachense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 53%, draw 27%, Moncarapachense 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Covilha), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.