Varzim vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Boavista — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Boavista
POR
2-1
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR
1-2
HT 1-2
Varzim
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Boavista
POR
Varzim 1-0 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim edged past Boavista 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Varzim made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Varzim had 56% of the ball to Boavista's 44%, shots finished 11-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boavista led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Varzim and 1.50 for Boavista.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Boavista?
Varzim 1-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Boavista?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varzim 39%, draw 29%, Boavista 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.