CA Penarol 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
71%
-1.5pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.6pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.69/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.19
-21% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
20.04.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
15.11.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
08.06.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
12.05.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.12.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
3-0
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol swept aside Montevideo Wanderers 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, CA Penarol had 63% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 37%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

CA Penarol 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 70%, draw 18%, Montevideo Wanderers 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
20 Oct 2025
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