Chester 1-3 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.18
Over
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.1
2-3
43%
1.84
4-5
24%
2.89
6+
9%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields The Market 37%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
1.64/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.84
+16% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
2W-0D-3L
AWAY South Shields
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 South Shields South Shields 4-0 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
08.02.2025 South Shields South Shields 2-0 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
07.09.2024 Chester Chester 1-0 HT 1-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
23.03.2024 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
25.11.2023 South Shields South Shields 0-1 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-3
AWAY South Shields
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chester vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields beat Chester 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day South Shields made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Chester had 48% of the ball to South Shields's 52%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, South Shields led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Chester and 1.40 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Chester vs South Shields?

Chester 1-3 South Shields in the England - Conference on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chester 37%, draw 28%, South Shields 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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