South Shields 4-0 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.79
2-3
40%
1.7
4-5
19%
3.68
6+
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.79 — our 31% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester The Market 39%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.14/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.54
-18% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Chester
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 South Shields South Shields 2-0 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
07.09.2024 Chester Chester 1-0 HT 1-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
23.03.2024 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
25.11.2023 South Shields South Shields 0-1 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
4-0
AWAY Chester
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields swept aside Chester 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; South Shields found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, South Shields had 64% of the ball to Chester's 36%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for South Shields and 0.50 for Chester.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Chester?

South Shields 4-0 Chester in the England - Conference on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split South Shields 38%, draw 30%, Chester 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Shields) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Shields) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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