Spartans 1-0 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.38
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
27.09.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 2-3 HT 1-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
22.03.2025 Spartans Spartans 1-2 HT 0-2 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
11.03.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
19.10.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-3 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
17.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
06.04.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans edged past Elgin City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartans as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartans and 1.67 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Elgin City?

Spartans 1-0 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Spartans 49%, draw 23%, Elgin City 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ BTTS Yes
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