Arezzo 1-2 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Jan 2024

Arezzo
1-2 HT 1-2
Pescara
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Arezzo vs Pescara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arezzo v Pescara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
1.46/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.13
+27% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Arezzo vs Pescara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pescara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 2-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
21.04.2007 Pescara Pescara 1-2 HT 0-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
02.12.2006 Arezzo Arezzo 4-1 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
25.02.2006 Pescara Pescara 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
09.10.2005 Arezzo Arezzo 2-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
06.03.2005 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB

Arezzo 1-2 Pescara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-2
AWAY Pescara
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara squeezed past Arezzo 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arezzo had 51% of the ball to Pescara's 49%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arezzo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arezzo and 1.50 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Pescara?

Arezzo 1-2 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 33%, draw 25%, Pescara 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
21 Jan 2024
16:00 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria Analysis →
16:00 Trento AC vs Novara Analysis →
16:00 ACR Messina vs Taranto Analysis →
16:45 Sorrento Calcio vs Torre Neapolis Analysis →
18:00 Sassari Torres vs Olbia 1905 Analysis →
18:15 Perugia vs SPAL Analysis →