SS Monopoli 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.77
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-1 HT 1-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
08.04.2023 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-2 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
04.12.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-2 HT 0-2 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
27.03.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 3-1 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
21.11.2021 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
21.08.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-0
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli edged past Rossoblu Potenza 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 46% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 54%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.17 for Rossoblu Potenza.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Rossoblu Potenza?

SS Monopoli 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Serie C on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 42%, draw 27%, Rossoblu Potenza 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
21 Jan 2024
16:00 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria Analysis →
16:00 Trento AC vs Novara Analysis →
16:00 ACR Messina vs Taranto Analysis →
16:45 Sorrento Calcio vs Torre Neapolis Analysis →
18:00 Sassari Torres vs Olbia 1905 Analysis →
18:15 Perugia vs SPAL Analysis →