Clermont 1-3 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
45%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.75
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.24
X/2
16%
5.4
X/X
11%
4.18
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
23%
3.9
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
45%
Away Win
35%
+10.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.62
-30% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +135%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.8
Crosses 23.9
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-3D-2L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.85 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
26.02.2023 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
11.09.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
14.05.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
19.01.2022 Clermont Clermont 0-2 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
24.02.2017 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-2 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-3
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.80 xG 3.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
417 Passes 435
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 37
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Clermont vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg got the better of Clermont 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Clermont had 49% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 51%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.80 to 3.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Clermont and 0.67 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Clermont vs RC Strasbourg?

Clermont 1-3 RC Strasbourg in the France - Cup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Clermont 30%, draw 25%, RC Strasbourg 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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