Sochaux 2-2 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.68
1/2
5%
22.15
1/X
6%
15.9
X/1
12%
10.0
X/2
16%
3.86
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.07
2/X
7%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
20%
+12.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-13.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 61%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.40/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.91/0.29
-53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
220 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 79%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
7.0 Crosses 28.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Reims
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
244 Passes 289
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2022 Sochaux Sochaux 0-3 HT 0-1 Reims Reims HAZ
09.02.2018 Reims Reims 3-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
16.09.2017 Sochaux Sochaux 2-4 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR2
11.02.2017 Reims Reims 0-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
16.09.2016 Sochaux Sochaux 1-1 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR2
20.04.2014 Reims Reims 0-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
2-2
AWAY Reims
1.53 xG 1.59
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
140 Passes 484
58% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 46
3 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux and Reims shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sochaux had 28% of the ball to Reims's 72%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 1.53 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sochaux and 1.83 for Reims.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Reims?

Sochaux 2-2 Reims in the France - Cup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 32%, draw 25%, Reims 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Reims) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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