Chester vs Spennymoor Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chester v Spennymoor Town — Team-Based Signals
Chester vs Spennymoor Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Chester
İCON
1-1
HT 0-0
Chester
İCON
1-2
HT 0-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
0-3
HT 0-2
Chester
İCON
0-2
HT 0-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
Chester 1-0 Spennymoor Town — Actual Match Statistics
Chester nicked a narrow win over Spennymoor Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Chester had 59% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 41%, shots finished 17-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chester and 1.50 for Spennymoor Town.
What was the final score of Chester vs Spennymoor Town?
Chester 1-0 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chester vs Spennymoor Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chester 44%, draw 29%, Spennymoor Town 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.