Chelsea vs Pafos FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Pafos FC — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea 1-0 Pafos FC — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea squeezed past Pafos FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chelsea had 71% of the ball to Pafos FC's 29%, shots finished 21-4.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Pafos FC?
Chelsea 1-0 Pafos FC in the Champions League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Pafos FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 77%, draw 14%, Pafos FC 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.