Inverness CT 1-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 30% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.68/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.75
-13% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
165 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 134 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 6.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
27.01.2026 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKCK
20.12.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
16.08.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.04.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
11.03.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 4-1 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
21.12.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT and Stenhousemuir couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Inverness CT at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inverness CT and 0.83 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Inverness CT 1-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 62%, draw 23%, Stenhousemuir 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inverness CT), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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