Alloa Athletic 3-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.63/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.84
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hamilton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.12.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.08.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
11.05.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 3-2 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
07.05.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
24.02.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.12.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic swept aside Hamilton 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.17 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton?

Alloa Athletic 3-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 44%, draw 28%, Hamilton 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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