Sydney 1-0 Brisbane Roar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.98/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.56
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.0 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
403 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Sydney Sydney 3-4 HT 1-3 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
01.11.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 2-3 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
10.03.2024 Sydney Sydney 1-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
06.01.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-2 HT 1-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
27.10.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-0 HT 2-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
07.10.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
1-0
AWAY Brisbane Roar
1.24 xG 0.51
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
492 Passes 221
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Sydney vs Brisbane Roar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sydney edged past Brisbane Roar 1-0 in the Australia - A-League on 21 Feb 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sydney had 65% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 35%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.24 to 0.51.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sydney and 2.00 for Brisbane Roar.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?

Sydney 1-0 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Brisbane Roar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sydney 58%, draw 19%, Brisbane Roar 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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