Wellington Phoenix 0-5 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.38
1/2
9%
21.8
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
13.6
X/1
10%
7.67
X/2
15%
4.75
X/X
9%
5.29
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
19%
2.57
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/X at 13.6 — our 14% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.9pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 52%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.34/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.08
+7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.2 Crosses 15.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Auckland
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.89 xG 2.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 287
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Auckland Auckland 3-1 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
08.11.2025 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 1-2 HT 1-2 Auckland Auckland AVUS
22.02.2025 Auckland Auckland 6-1 HT 3-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
07.12.2024 Auckland Auckland 2-1 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
02.11.2024 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 0-2 HT 0-0 Auckland Auckland AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix
0-5
AWAY Auckland
0.54 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
178 Passes 199
63% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Auckland ran out comfortable winners over Wellington Phoenix 5-0 away from home in the Australia - A-League on 21 Feb 2026. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was favoured at 62%.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 50% of the ball to Auckland's 50%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.54 to 1.36.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Auckland lead the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 3.00 for Auckland.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?

Wellington Phoenix 0-5 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 27%, draw 28%, Auckland 44%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auckland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUS More Australia - A-League
21 Feb 2026
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