Istra 1961 0-2 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.45
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
35%
2.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.71
Over
45%
2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Istra 1961 The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Strong
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
2W-1D-3L
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
362 Passes 290
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.08.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
12.04.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-2 HT 2-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
31.01.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
27.10.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
10.08.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0 - 2
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.48 xG 2.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
408 Passes 240
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

HNK Gorica took care of Istra 1961 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day HNK Gorica made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 61% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 39%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.48 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HNK Gorica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.00 for HNK Gorica.

Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica Result & Final Score

Istra 1961 0 - 2 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 35%, draw 30%, HNK Gorica 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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