Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.28
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.69
Over
44%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.51
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
19%
4.16
6+
4%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
1.35 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Osijek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
31.08.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
09.05.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.03.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
08.12.2024 Osijek Osijek 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
22.09.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3 - 1
AWAY Osijek
1.25 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
307 Passes 254
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 15
REVIEW Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lokomotiva Zagreb saw off Osijek 3-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

From a near-even 38% / 30% / 32% read, it was Lokomotiva Zagreb who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Lokomotiva Zagreb had 53% of the ball to Osijek's 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.17 for Osijek.

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek Result & Final Score

Lokomotiva Zagreb 3 - 1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 38%, draw 30%, Osijek 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5
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