Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
0.98/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.6 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osijek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 1.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
287 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.03.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
08.12.2024 Osijek Osijek 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
22.09.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
04.05.2024 Osijek Osijek 3-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
27.02.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
AWAY Osijek
1.46 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
344 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
38 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb and Osijek shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 52% of the ball to Osijek's 48%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.46 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.33 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%, draw 26%, Osijek 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Osijek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
31 Aug 2025
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