Hajduk Split 2-2 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.27
6+ Goals
11%
22.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.7pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.40/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.32
+12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.9 Crosses 11.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.72 xG 0.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.03.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.02.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 1-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
15.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
07.04.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
2-2
AWAY Rijeka
1.70 xG 0.90
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
399 Passes 237
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 13
36 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split and Rijeka couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hajduk Split at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 61% of the ball to Rijeka's 39%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.70 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.67 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Rijeka?

Hajduk Split 2-2 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 55%, draw 24%, Rijeka 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hajduk Split) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ BTTS Yes
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