Hajduk Split 2-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -17%
0.88/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.00
-30% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.1 Crosses 18.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rijeka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.46 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 254
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.02.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 1-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
15.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
07.04.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
28.01.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
2-1
AWAY Rijeka
1.73 xG 0.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
328 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split nicked a narrow win over Rijeka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hajduk Split found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 48% of the ball to Rijeka's 52%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.73 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.83 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Rijeka?

Hajduk Split 2-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 30%, draw 30%, Rijeka 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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