Slaven Belupo 4-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.1
Over 2.5
41%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+10.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.78/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.58
+11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
25.4 Crosses 13.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 277
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 3-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIRK
13.12.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
30.09.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
04.05.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 4-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
25.02.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
4-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.84 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
370 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo swept aside HNK Gorica 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slaven Belupo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 56% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 44%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.84 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.00 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?

Slaven Belupo 4-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 50%, draw 27%, HNK Gorica 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slaven Belupo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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