Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.62/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.16
+67% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
14.3 Crosses 14.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.62 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
434 Passes 333
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
29.03.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-3 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
11.08.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-3 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
30.03.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
15.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
12.05.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-2
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.27 xG 1.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
529 Passes 400
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo nicked a narrow win over Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 56% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 44%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.27 to 1.91 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Tokyo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 0.50 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 22%, FC Tokyo 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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