Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.95
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.39/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.02
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.4 Crosses 22.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 439
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
25.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 HT 2-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
06.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
19.03.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
24.09.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
11.04.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.99 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
202 Passes 181
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse squeezed past Vissel Kobe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 52% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 48%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.99 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shimizu S-Pulse's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.50 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vissel Kobe?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 27%, draw 27%, Vissel Kobe 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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